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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.91vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+8.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.07vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+2.76vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+3.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+5.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88+0.65vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-0.05vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.22vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-0.46vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.98vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-0.11vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-3.83vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-1.62vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.44-5.49vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-7.59vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-3.36vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.23-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.88Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.76Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.65Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.54George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.51Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.64Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.17Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| David Larson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Amina Brown | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% |
| John Rolander | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.3% |
| Axel Sly | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| John Silvestri | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 27.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.