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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+12.59vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+6.21vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.44+6.82vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.74vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+7.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.80vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23+3.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73+0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95+2.62vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+0.95vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-2.39vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-4.78vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.87vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-4.98vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.12-8.36vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.88-8.21vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.49-7.56vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.59Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.82Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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12.49Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.34Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.95Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.61Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.22Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.79Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.44George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 27.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Axel Sly | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 18.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| David Larson | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| John Rolander | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Raul Rios | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Amina Brown | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.