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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.48+4.09vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.47+0.92vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.52-0.09vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.41+0.84vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.88+0.53vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.37-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.93-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.92-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09North Carolina State University-0.488.8%1st Place
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2.92North Carolina State University0.4724.6%1st Place
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2.91Clemson University0.5227.1%1st Place
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4.84The Citadel-0.419.8%1st Place
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5.53Clemson University-0.886.4%1st Place
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4.45Duke University-0.3710.1%1st Place
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6.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.364.6%1st Place
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7.38University of South Carolina-1.932.1%1st Place
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5.52University of North Carolina-0.926.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Parks | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 24.6% | 24.5% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Luke Adams | 27.1% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Matthew Laufer | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 9.4% |
| Zohar Almani | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 21.6% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 45.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.