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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+10.69vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.98vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+7.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.81vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+4.22vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+2.98vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27+1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+6.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.07vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.04-1.16vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-1.40vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-5.77vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.02vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.41-6.94vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.92-5.73vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.08-3.38vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.69Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.98Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.81Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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14.19University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.6Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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13.62Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.6% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Peter Girard | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 17.0% | 32.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| William Hawk | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 24.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.