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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+8.54vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.43vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+5.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.77vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.98+4.81vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.93+4.17vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72-0.15vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27+0.62vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+1.18vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.04-0.02vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-1.91vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-1.72vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.16vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-6.91vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.40vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.83-1.59vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-5.31vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.08-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.81Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.17Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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6.85Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.62Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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14.41University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.36Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| William Hawk | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Peter Girard | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 34.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.