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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+5.04vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.21+6.21vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+5.76vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.93+5.11vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+1.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.97vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60+3.47vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-2.25vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-1.00vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08+2.58vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-1.41vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.04-3.47vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-6.14vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-5.11vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.13-6.61vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.17vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.83-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.04Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.11Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.0Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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13.58Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.86George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.89Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.39Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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14.15University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 26.0% |
| William Hawk | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Peter Girard | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.