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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+6.08vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+6.31vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+4.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+10.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+3.67vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04+3.72vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+2.29vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-1.27vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93+1.25vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92+0.44vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.59vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-1.68vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08+0.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.32vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.37vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-7.03vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-5.23vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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14.12University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.67Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.25Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.44Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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13.34Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Girard | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 34.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.5% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| William Hawk | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 22.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.