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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+6.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.18vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+7.21vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+6.06vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+3.06vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.93+4.15vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+6.19vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.04+0.67vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08+3.78vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-2.13vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-2.65vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-5.73vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.03vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.13-5.77vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-4.36vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.25vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.21Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.06Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.15Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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6.83Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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14.19University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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13.78Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.64Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| William Hawk | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Girard | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 32.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 25.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.