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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+6.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.94vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+5.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.17vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+1.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+3.96vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08+6.46vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60+3.44vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99+0.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.77vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.60-3.54vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-2.71vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-2.99vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-5.01vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.04-5.29vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.27-7.20vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.83-2.52vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.93-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.36George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.96Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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13.46Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.8Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.48University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 23.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| William Hawk | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Peter Girard | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 35.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.