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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.48+4.33vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.58+1.05vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.47+0.21vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.88+1.72vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.52-1.93vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.92-0.17vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.37-2.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.93-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33North Carolina State University-0.486.7%1st Place
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3.05The Citadel0.5823.6%1st Place
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3.21North Carolina State University0.4720.4%1st Place
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5.72Clemson University-0.885.2%1st Place
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3.07Clemson University0.5223.8%1st Place
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5.83University of North Carolina-0.925.3%1st Place
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4.74Duke University-0.379.9%1st Place
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7.51University of South Carolina-1.931.3%1st Place
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6.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.363.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Parks | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 7.2% |
| Alana Hantz | 23.6% | 21.3% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 20.4% | 20.8% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Laufer | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 10.2% |
| Luke Adams | 23.8% | 21.8% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 10.8% |
| Zohar Almani | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 46.2% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 22.3% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.