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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+9.13vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+6.31vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.46vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+4.84vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+4.25vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21+1.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83+5.34vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-2.90vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.04-1.17vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-0.09vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.93-3.08vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-6.85vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.13-5.73vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-2.46vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.87vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.68Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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14.34University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.1Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.92Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| William Hawk | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Peter Girard | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 32.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 24.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.