← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.98+9.13vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.72+5.10vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.73+4.03vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.04+5.63vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.31vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.60+1.35vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.60+4.51vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University3.41+0.01vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.27-0.32vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.13-0.42vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.92-0.65vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.83+2.56vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College3.21-4.21vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.99-4.38vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.08vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.93-5.74vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University2.08-3.40vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.13Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.1Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.03Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.63Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
7.35Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
11.51Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.01George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
8.68Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.58Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
10.35Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
14.56University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.79Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.62University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.26Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
13.6Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
-
9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Peter Girard | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 37.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 18.4% | 21.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.