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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+9.09vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.99vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+4.58vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.82vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27+2.70vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+4.54vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.57vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21-0.06vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93+0.49vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.83+2.57vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.04-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-4.38vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-1.53vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.13-6.60vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.89vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.41-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.09Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.7Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.49Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.34Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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14.57University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.47Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.4Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.96George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| William Hawk | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Peter Girard | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 37.4% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 21.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.