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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+6.74vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.63+4.83vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+5.39vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+5.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+4.63vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+3.07vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.70vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+2.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.26-0.90vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+0.60vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.34+1.16vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.78-1.40vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.77-6.94vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.03-5.15vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-2.46vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-3.85vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.72-6.40vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.19-9.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.83Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.39Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.28Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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12.16Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.85Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.27Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lily Katz | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 15.4% |
| Sam White | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 18.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 15.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.