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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+7.40vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+7.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63+3.86vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+4.38vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.10vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26+2.20vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+0.42vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+2.21vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.34+3.08vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.78+0.51vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.03-1.74vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-2.04vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-3.47vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.72-3.87vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-2.46vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-5.56vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.90-7.15vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.86Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.38Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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12.08Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.51George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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9.26Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% |
| Lily Katz | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% |
| Sam White | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| James Barry | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 18.6% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| William Crary | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.