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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+5.30vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+8.57vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+5.67vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+3.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.25+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+4.47vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-0.37vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.48vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+3.10vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-0.74vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.34+1.16vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-1.24vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.26-4.93vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.03-5.18vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-2.47vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.78-5.69vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.90-7.20vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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8.67Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.18Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.63Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.16Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.76Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.53Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.31George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| Lily Katz | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 16.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| James Barry | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 18.5% |
| Sam White | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% |
| William Crary | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.