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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+6.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+6.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+6.38vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.09vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+3.95vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.90+3.71vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.19+1.49vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+3.94vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-0.84vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.34+2.28vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-0.52vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.63-5.02vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-2.69vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-4.76vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-4.67vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-6.26vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.22vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.78-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.38Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.94Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.16Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.28Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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6.98Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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12.78Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| James Barry | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| William Crary | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.6% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% |
| Lily Katz | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 20.3% |
| Sam White | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.