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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+8.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.19+6.77vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+3.35vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+2.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.26+3.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+2.27vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.65vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+1.03vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.71+1.59vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.17vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34+1.26vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21+1.06vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.78-2.89vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-3.91vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-5.25vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.90-6.11vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.38vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.72-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.68Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.26Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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13.06Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.11George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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10.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Lily Katz | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Walter Florio | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 16.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 24.9% |
| Sam White | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.