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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+7.73vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+8.78vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+7.71vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+3.49vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34+6.97vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+4.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+2.08vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.03+1.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.65vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.63-3.03vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-2.59vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-5.51vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.78-2.89vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.26-6.01vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.24vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-6.12vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.71-6.26vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.21-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.78Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.97Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.17Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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6.97Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.41Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.11George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 17.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| James Barry | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Lily Katz | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam White | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| William Crary | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Walter Florio | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.