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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+7.50vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+7.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+5.52vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+5.68vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.17vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.63+0.72vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+2.09vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72+1.57vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.25vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.71-0.22vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.19-3.11vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-2.71vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.03-5.06vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-5.27vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.78-5.64vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.21vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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8.52Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.94Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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12.79Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| William Crary | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Lily Katz | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Walter Florio | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| James Barry | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Sam White | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 20.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.