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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.15+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.61vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.81-0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.18+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11+1.42vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.31-0.62vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.23+1.55vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.83-3.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.41-1.10vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-1.96-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Washington1.1516.6%1st Place
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3.61University of Washington1.0718.1%1st Place
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2.64Western Washington University1.8130.4%1st Place
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5.81University of Washington0.186.3%1st Place
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6.42University of Oregon0.114.0%1st Place
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5.38Western Washington University0.317.3%1st Place
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8.55Western Washington University-1.231.6%1st Place
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4.44Western Washington University0.8311.2%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.472.9%1st Place
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8.9University of Washington-1.411.4%1st Place
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9.57Gonzaga University-1.960.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 16.6% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 18.1% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 30.4% | 25.8% | 18.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Emily Avey | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Hans Scheyer | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 19.9% |
| Alexander Turloff | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 27.5% | 25.3% |
| Spencer Patten | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 21.6% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.