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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+8.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+6.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+5.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.13vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.63+1.73vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+4.44vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25+1.25vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.03+1.14vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+3.18vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.78+0.54vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-1.72vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-1.81vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-2.62vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.55vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-7.55vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-3.26vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.71-6.22vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.73Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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8.25Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.18Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.74Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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10.22Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.7% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Lily Katz | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| James Barry | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.6% |
| Sam White | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| William Crary | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 21.4% |
| Walter Florio | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.