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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+9.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+4.23vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+7.68vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+5.48vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+2.47vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.90+3.69vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-0.32vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.25+0.09vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21+3.61vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.19-1.29vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-1.87vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.78-1.37vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.34-1.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.64vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.26-6.89vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.72-5.45vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-4.82vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.03-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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6.23Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.68Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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7.47Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.68Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.61Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.71Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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12.18Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.98Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Burgess | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| William Crary | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Lily Katz | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 17.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% |
| Sam White | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.8% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 15.5% |
| James Barry | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.