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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.63+5.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+6.43vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.78+7.46vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.34+7.87vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+4.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.19+2.47vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.70vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-0.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.03+0.14vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-3.68vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-0.48vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-1.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-3.47vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-1.75vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-2.97vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-6.93vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.26-8.61vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.72-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.43Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.46George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.87Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.47Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University3.030.0%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.52Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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12.25Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.03Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Sam White | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| William Crary | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| James Barry | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 17.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.