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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+7.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+7.83vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+5.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03+4.09vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34+6.13vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-0.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.19+0.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.67vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75+0.58vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.42vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-2.72vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-5.30vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.35vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.78-5.73vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.34-4.78vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.21-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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8.44Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.09Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.13Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.63Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.27George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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12.22Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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12.39Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| James Barry | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 16.9% |
| Lily Katz | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| William Crary | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Sam White | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.