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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+7.42vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+5.60vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.34+9.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+4.40vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+4.61vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.78+4.18vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25+1.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-1.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.60vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21+2.78vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-0.50vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.03-2.49vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.63-6.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.67vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.72-4.59vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-6.87vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-6.57vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.31Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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10.18George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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8.24Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.04Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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12.78Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.5Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.51Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.58Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 15.6% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| William Crary | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Sam White | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 19.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| James Barry | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Lily Katz | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.