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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+7.76vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+4.23vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+7.59vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+5.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+4.49vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.63+0.63vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+3.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-0.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.65vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.78+0.51vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-2.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.26-3.42vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-4.09vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.34-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.34vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-3.28vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-4.83vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.72-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.23Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.63Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.37Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.35Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.51George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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8.36Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.91Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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12.72Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| James Barry | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Lily Katz | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Sam White | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.5% |
| William Crary | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 20.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 16.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.