← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.42+6.74vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.26+6.39vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.63+3.84vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.72+6.32vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College3.06+3.94vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.19+2.46vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.90+2.73vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.25+0.15vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.21+3.62vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.34+2.34vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University3.77-4.78vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-1.29vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-3.59vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.78-4.16vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.34-2.97vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.75-5.54vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-7.15vs Predicted
-
18Brown University3.03-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.74Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.39Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
-
6.84Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.32University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.94Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.46Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
9.73University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.15Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
12.62Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
12.34Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
6.22Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
10.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.84George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
-
12.03Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.46Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.92Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Lily Katz | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| William Crary | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 16.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 16.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.0% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Sam White | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| James Barry | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.