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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+3.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+4.38vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.80+4.03vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+1.69vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+1.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-0.51vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.81-0.95vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54-1.12vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.66+0.81vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.80-0.64vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52-0.60vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.81vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.63-6.41vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Boston College3.790.2%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.03Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.33Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.88Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.36Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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11.4Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.59Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.85University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 18.3% | 20.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| August Sturm | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 13.1% |
| John Cappetta | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 11.4% |
| Ben Brown | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Sam Shannon | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.