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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+3.10vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.80+4.92vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+3.97vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+3.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+1.60vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39-0.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.88vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.66+2.81vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-3.41vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.80+0.37vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.63-3.26vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52-0.57vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-5.94vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-2.12vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Boston College3.790.2%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.96Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.18Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.59Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.37Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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7.74Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.43Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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12.88University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 20.1% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Kendal Richardson | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 14.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Cappetta | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Ben Brown | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 18.6% | 44.4% |
| August Sturm | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.