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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.15+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11+1.45vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83-1.57vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.23+1.46vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.31-2.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.41-1.17vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-1.96-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Western Washington University1.8131.4%1st Place
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3.58University of Washington1.1516.4%1st Place
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5.77University of Washington0.185.9%1st Place
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3.64University of Washington1.0717.3%1st Place
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6.45University of Oregon0.114.6%1st Place
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4.43Western Washington University0.8310.7%1st Place
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8.46Western Washington University-1.231.5%1st Place
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5.51Western Washington University0.317.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.472.9%1st Place
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8.83University of Washington-1.411.2%1st Place
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9.65Gonzaga University-1.961.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 31.4% | 22.9% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 16.4% | 20.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 17.3% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Turloff | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hans Scheyer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 19.3% | 24.1% | 18.2% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 27.0% | 24.2% |
| Spencer Patten | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 22.1% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.