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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+3.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+4.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+2.12vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+2.87vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.63+1.70vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.80+0.07vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.97-1.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.81-2.01vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.91vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.66-0.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-6.12vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.52-2.71vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-2.10vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.80-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Boston College3.790.2%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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5.12Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.95Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.7Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.07Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.29Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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12.9University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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10.31Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 20.5% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Kendal Richardson | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 14.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Brown | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 17.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 45.8% |
| John Cappetta | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.