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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+3.02vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+3.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+3.45vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+3.92vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+1.63vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.80+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+0.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.02vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.66+1.76vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.63-2.28vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.52+0.17vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.81-5.70vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.24-8.06vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.80-4.71vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Boston College3.790.2%1st Place
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5.03Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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7.92Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.72Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.17Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.29Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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12.88University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 20.5% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| August Sturm | 8.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Kendal Richardson | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 11.4% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Ben Brown | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 18.6% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Cappetta | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 9.7% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.