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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+6.73vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81+4.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+2.62vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+3.97vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+1.66vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.80+4.40vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39-1.79vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.63-0.31vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.80-1.97vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.79-5.83vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.97vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52-0.59vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.66-2.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-8.52vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.97Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.4Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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5.21Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.69Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.03Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.17Boston College3.790.2%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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11.41Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.91Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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12.82University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ceely | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Kendal Richardson | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| John Cappetta | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 9.8% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Richard Jones | 18.5% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Ben Brown | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 16.7% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 14.7% |
| August Sturm | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.