Race 8A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Cameron Holley 11.2% 11.6% 9.7% 11.8% 10.1% 7.8% 8.5% 6.9% 6.2% 4.7% 5.7% 2.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Hunter Johnstone 13.1% 14.8% 10.9% 12.2% 8.4% 8.2% 9.0% 7.1% 5.0% 4.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Lyons 6.8% 7.2% 7.6% 7.2% 8.4% 8.0% 8.2% 8.5% 8.4% 8.8% 7.1% 6.6% 4.0% 3.1% 0.1%
Connor Kelter 4.9% 5.3% 6.1% 6.6% 7.2% 7.5% 8.5% 6.3% 7.1% 8.3% 10.1% 7.7% 7.1% 4.9% 2.4%
Adam Ceely 4.9% 6.8% 6.2% 5.3% 6.8% 6.8% 7.3% 8.8% 6.8% 10.2% 9.5% 7.4% 6.9% 4.8% 1.5%
August Sturm 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 7.5% 8.5% 11.1% 8.8% 9.4% 7.8% 7.9% 5.0% 5.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4%
Frank Reeg 5.1% 4.2% 3.5% 4.2% 4.9% 6.2% 5.9% 7.4% 8.8% 7.1% 10.0% 11.0% 9.9% 8.3% 3.5%
Charles Welsh 7.2% 6.0% 8.3% 8.6% 6.9% 8.1% 7.8% 8.0% 9.6% 8.3% 7.2% 7.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
Richard Jones 19.0% 16.6% 15.7% 11.4% 9.6% 9.2% 6.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Ben Brown 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 3.0% 2.6% 4.0% 5.2% 5.1% 6.0% 6.9% 9.2% 12.7% 21.3% 16.7%
John Cappetta 2.5% 2.0% 2.9% 3.9% 3.8% 3.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.0% 7.4% 7.7% 11.0% 12.9% 14.5% 11.4%
Kendal Richardson 7.4% 6.8% 9.4% 8.1% 10.0% 8.0% 6.6% 9.4% 7.3% 8.5% 7.2% 5.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Kurran Singh 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 3.4% 4.4% 4.0% 4.8% 5.8% 7.2% 10.8% 14.8% 16.9% 15.4%
Sam Shannon 5.7% 5.6% 6.1% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 7.2% 8.2% 10.1% 8.1% 8.0% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 1.1%
Emmet Todd 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 1.6% 3.3% 2.1% 4.2% 6.6% 10.1% 16.3% 45.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.