Race 9A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Richard Jones 20.3% 19.7% 13.1% 9.9% 8.8% 9.3% 6.4% 4.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 5.7% 5.6% 6.4% 6.8% 8.4% 7.7% 8.9% 7.5% 8.8% 8.2% 6.2% 7.5% 6.6% 4.1% 1.6%
Connor Kelter 5.0% 4.9% 7.8% 6.0% 6.1% 8.1% 6.3% 8.2% 8.7% 9.2% 8.9% 8.9% 6.8% 3.8% 1.3%
Kendal Richardson 8.7% 8.7% 7.4% 9.8% 8.4% 7.7% 9.3% 8.5% 7.8% 6.4% 6.6% 5.0% 2.8% 2.6% 0.3%
Cameron Holley 10.5% 11.6% 8.7% 10.1% 8.3% 9.9% 8.8% 8.9% 7.2% 5.6% 4.2% 2.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Kurran Singh 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.6% 2.9% 3.9% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 6.7% 8.3% 10.9% 13.7% 18.4% 12.7%
Hunter Johnstone 12.9% 11.3% 11.2% 12.2% 10.4% 8.0% 9.8% 6.3% 5.0% 5.2% 3.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Frank Reeg 4.0% 3.8% 4.2% 5.4% 6.1% 6.0% 5.6% 7.0% 5.1% 8.6% 12.1% 9.4% 9.6% 9.1% 4.0%
Matthew Lyons 6.4% 5.9% 8.0% 9.3% 8.2% 7.9% 9.6% 7.7% 8.1% 9.4% 7.2% 5.3% 3.9% 2.5% 0.6%
Ben Brown 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 3.1% 5.2% 4.7% 5.5% 8.7% 9.4% 13.7% 19.1% 17.0%
Sam Shannon 5.5% 6.0% 7.1% 7.3% 6.4% 7.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.9% 7.7% 6.7% 9.1% 6.8% 3.8% 2.0%
August Sturm 7.2% 6.8% 8.6% 9.0% 9.0% 7.9% 8.0% 9.2% 9.8% 7.6% 5.1% 5.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
John Cappetta 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 4.3% 3.6% 3.9% 7.0% 6.6% 7.9% 10.2% 14.8% 15.5% 11.7%
Emmet Todd 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 2.2% 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 3.2% 5.5% 6.3% 8.5% 16.0% 47.1%
Charles Welsh 7.7% 7.1% 8.7% 5.2% 9.8% 7.5% 7.5% 7.1% 9.7% 8.1% 7.7% 6.8% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.