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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.87+4.49vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+1.82vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.62+3.33vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.00+4.51vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.24+5.80vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.22+4.79vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-2.62vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.71+1.13vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.34vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16-2.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.22vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-6.47vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-6.94vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.37-1.03vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.52-2.22vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.09-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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3.82Bowdoin College3.560.2%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.8University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.79Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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4.38Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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9.13Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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7.89Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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5.53Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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12.97Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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12.78McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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14.09Middlebury College-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Johansson | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 21.7% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Bayard Lalor | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
| Wade Waddell | 17.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 23.0% |
| Hannah Ker | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 19.4% |
| Zachary Berzolla | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 19.7% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.