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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+7.40vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+5.07vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51+5.31vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia2.39+8.04vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25+3.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.93+6.46vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-1.32vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.15vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+1.48vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.24-6.35vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-4.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.39vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo0.75+2.13vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.52-3.87vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.97-6.68vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.38-5.28vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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7.07Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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13.04University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.46University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.48Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.65Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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17.13University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.13Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.72Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 21.8% | 12.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Popp | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Rory Mess | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 57.9% |
| Sarah De Silva | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.