Race 4A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucien Freemesser 17.3% 19.2% 17.1% 15.1% 13.5% 9.0% 5.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Nairn 17.1% 16.1% 15.8% 17.8% 13.2% 9.4% 6.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Emily Avey 5.1% 5.5% 6.0% 7.3% 9.8% 12.6% 15.8% 17.1% 13.2% 6.8% 0.9%
Marty Weigel 3.7% 4.8% 4.0% 5.9% 6.2% 10.9% 14.3% 19.2% 17.3% 11.3% 2.2%
Alexander Turloff 10.8% 11.7% 14.2% 15.7% 14.8% 12.8% 10.8% 6.3% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ellie Blakemore 5.9% 9.0% 9.2% 10.8% 13.2% 16.0% 15.2% 11.3% 6.8% 2.4% 0.3%
Jaden Unruh 6.2% 6.9% 9.4% 9.4% 12.0% 13.9% 14.8% 14.0% 9.3% 3.5% 0.4%
Nathaniel Rubin 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 3.8% 4.5% 6.3% 10.9% 19.1% 32.5% 16.4%
Leif Hauge 31.1% 23.7% 19.9% 11.5% 8.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin McGann 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 2.8% 6.9% 14.8% 69.0%
Hans Scheyer 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 4.1% 5.6% 7.9% 12.2% 22.8% 28.3% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.