Race 13A

nevins

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Alexander Curtiss 8.9% 9.8% 8.9% 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 7.5% 7.0% 6.7% 5.2% 4.8% 4.0% 3.6% 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Greiner Hobbs 10.9% 12.0% 9.3% 9.4% 8.1% 8.5% 7.4% 7.0% 5.0% 6.5% 4.7% 3.7% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Marek Zaleski 6.3% 5.5% 6.7% 6.2% 6.0% 6.3% 6.0% 4.2% 7.2% 7.3% 7.9% 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 5.1% 3.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Nicholas Baird 13.4% 11.7% 10.9% 10.1% 10.0% 8.6% 7.8% 7.2% 5.9% 5.6% 2.8% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Esteban Forrer 6.8% 8.2% 7.7% 9.0% 8.3% 8.1% 7.6% 6.8% 7.4% 6.3% 5.5% 5.8% 5.2% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 7.3% 5.5% 7.6% 5.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.4% 6.9% 6.3% 5.5% 6.2% 7.7% 4.8% 5.2% 4.0% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Dirk Johnson 3.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 4.3% 4.9% 4.7% 4.8% 4.7% 6.7% 8.1% 5.6% 7.7% 9.1% 6.8% 7.1% 6.0% 3.5% 0.5%
Maximiliano Agnese 6.3% 6.4% 5.6% 5.7% 6.7% 5.2% 7.7% 7.3% 6.8% 6.1% 7.2% 6.8% 6.6% 5.7% 3.6% 3.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Michael Popp 6.7% 6.7% 5.4% 7.3% 6.2% 6.4% 6.5% 6.4% 7.7% 5.8% 6.7% 6.0% 6.9% 5.2% 3.6% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Christopher Craven 2.1% 2.8% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 3.3% 4.1% 3.4% 5.1% 7.7% 5.8% 7.6% 9.5% 10.5% 11.3% 8.7% 5.2%
Sean Golden 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 6.5% 6.1% 6.0% 7.4% 5.7% 7.5% 8.4% 6.7% 7.0% 5.3% 4.5% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Austin Neuman 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 3.0% 2.3% 3.2% 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 6.4% 9.2% 10.2% 13.5% 18.9% 11.3%
Alecsander Tayler 5.5% 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 4.9% 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 6.2% 6.6% 6.1% 7.7% 6.6% 7.2% 4.1% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Christopher Cyr 1.7% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.8% 5.2% 6.1% 9.8% 10.5% 14.3% 17.6% 12.3%
Sarah De Silva 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.9% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 5.0% 6.4% 7.6% 8.7% 8.9% 10.5% 8.2% 4.6%
Eric Siegel 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 2.3% 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 4.5% 4.8% 5.8% 7.0% 8.4% 8.7% 9.4% 10.6% 10.3% 2.8%
Daniel Lawless 2.2% 1.4% 2.9% 2.3% 3.1% 3.8% 3.6% 3.1% 3.4% 4.5% 4.7% 5.5% 5.4% 6.3% 9.1% 10.5% 11.4% 11.8% 5.0%
Charles Lalumiere 6.8% 7.5% 8.5% 5.9% 7.9% 7.8% 6.4% 7.6% 7.7% 6.1% 6.6% 4.6% 5.7% 3.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Rory Mess 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.0% 2.2% 2.0% 4.0% 5.7% 6.7% 12.5% 57.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.