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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+7.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+6.34vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.07vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.45+8.46vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+5.72vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+2.47vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61+0.89vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-2.31vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-2.18vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25-0.84vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+2.38vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-1.02vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia2.39-1.15vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.93-0.88vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.38-3.29vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.75+0.20vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.47-9.77vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-12.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.46Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.72Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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5.69Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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6.82Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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14.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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12.71Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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17.2University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean Golden | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Dirk Johnson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Popp | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 10.3% |
| Sarah De Silva | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 13.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Rory Mess | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 57.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.