Race 5A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucien Freemesser 17.9% 17.0% 18.2% 16.6% 12.4% 8.8% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Leif Hauge 30.6% 26.2% 17.7% 11.8% 7.8% 3.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Nairn 17.3% 18.6% 17.3% 15.4% 12.3% 8.8% 6.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Avey 4.4% 4.8% 6.3% 8.5% 10.5% 13.4% 14.2% 15.1% 12.9% 7.0% 2.9%
Ellie Blakemore 5.8% 7.1% 8.9% 12.0% 12.4% 15.8% 14.0% 13.2% 7.6% 2.9% 0.3%
Alexander Turloff 11.5% 12.3% 13.8% 13.0% 15.6% 13.0% 10.8% 6.2% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Jaden Unruh 6.1% 6.4% 7.0% 9.8% 11.8% 13.8% 16.3% 14.0% 9.0% 4.8% 1.1%
Marty Weigel 3.5% 3.6% 4.0% 6.7% 7.4% 10.0% 13.4% 17.2% 17.2% 12.3% 4.6%
Hans Scheyer 0.9% 1.9% 3.0% 2.5% 3.9% 5.1% 7.1% 11.9% 18.8% 24.8% 20.1%
Nathaniel Rubin 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 4.0% 4.6% 6.5% 10.3% 17.6% 25.7% 24.3%
Chris Connor 0.9% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 3.3% 4.2% 6.7% 11.4% 21.4% 46.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.