Race 1B

nevins

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Eddie Cox 6.2% 8.9% 9.4% 5.9% 9.2% 8.7% 7.3% 6.5% 7.2% 6.1% 5.8% 4.8% 4.4% 3.5% 3.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Augie Dale 13.0% 10.6% 11.5% 9.6% 7.9% 8.9% 7.7% 6.1% 6.4% 4.6% 5.0% 3.5% 2.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicolas Hernandez 7.8% 6.9% 6.1% 8.3% 7.1% 7.2% 5.3% 5.9% 7.3% 7.5% 6.9% 6.8% 5.7% 4.0% 3.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 8.6% 9.0% 7.4% 6.3% 7.9% 8.9% 8.2% 7.7% 5.7% 7.6% 6.2% 4.7% 5.4% 2.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Patrick Snow 9.9% 11.3% 9.4% 12.5% 9.8% 7.7% 7.8% 6.7% 7.3% 4.2% 4.9% 3.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Floyd 10.3% 9.3% 9.2% 8.7% 8.2% 7.4% 7.3% 6.8% 6.0% 5.4% 4.6% 4.4% 4.7% 3.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Drew Gallagher 5.3% 5.9% 4.8% 6.1% 6.0% 5.6% 6.0% 7.0% 6.9% 6.6% 8.6% 6.7% 6.0% 7.2% 4.9% 3.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Edmund Cooper 6.0% 5.9% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 5.6% 6.7% 8.5% 5.4% 6.3% 6.2% 8.6% 5.8% 5.3% 5.1% 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Victor Rodriguez 2.6% 2.9% 2.5% 3.3% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 3.7% 4.6% 4.1% 5.9% 5.7% 6.9% 8.7% 11.0% 9.8% 9.6% 7.5% 1.0%
Mason Wolters 2.0% 2.6% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 3.9% 3.3% 4.9% 6.1% 8.4% 6.5% 10.6% 12.1% 13.1% 8.9% 1.8%
Connor Godfrey 6.6% 6.3% 8.4% 7.4% 6.7% 5.4% 8.3% 7.9% 6.4% 8.6% 5.2% 5.8% 5.2% 4.9% 3.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
James Moody 5.8% 5.0% 4.8% 5.3% 5.4% 6.1% 5.6% 7.0% 8.1% 7.7% 6.8% 7.1% 7.4% 6.2% 6.0% 2.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Michael Gemperline 6.6% 5.8% 7.5% 5.9% 6.2% 5.9% 7.8% 6.8% 5.8% 8.4% 6.3% 6.5% 6.0% 5.6% 4.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Dante Iozzo 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 0.5% 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 5.3% 9.9% 16.1% 32.9% 10.4%
Matthew McDermaid 2.8% 2.3% 3.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 4.1% 5.3% 5.2% 5.6% 6.8% 7.8% 7.0% 11.8% 11.2% 8.6% 1.1%
Stephan VerHulst 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.8% 3.7% 5.0% 5.5% 6.2% 9.5% 10.8% 10.5% 12.9% 9.2% 0.7%
Vincent Storino 2.0% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 3.9% 3.8% 3.2% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 6.3% 7.3% 9.7% 12.1% 11.4% 13.7% 1.6%
Victoria McGruer 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% 3.4% 4.3% 3.4% 3.5% 6.1% 4.4% 6.1% 6.7% 6.6% 8.6% 9.3% 9.4% 10.5% 7.2% 0.8%
Kevin Coakley 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 2.5% 2.1% 7.8% 82.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.