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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+7.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+7.06vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.01+9.76vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+3.40vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+3.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.08vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.94+1.88vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.42+3.28vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.39vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-2.53vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-4.04vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.01+1.09vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.87-4.09vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-1.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-1.64vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.15-3.97vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.67-11.05vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-1.88vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan1.84-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University2.900.0%1st Place
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12.76Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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7.4Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.28Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Virginia2.010.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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12.71Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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12.03Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
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5.95Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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16.12University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| James Moody | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% |
| AJ Reiter | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Edmund Cooper | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Rodriguez | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 6.5% |
| Vincent Storino | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% |
| Peter Steo | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| Augie Dale | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 40.2% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.