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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.93vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.29+5.46vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+5.92vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+3.03vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+2.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90+2.99vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13+1.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67-1.82vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.05+3.33vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11-2.00vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.22vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.01+1.10vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.84+0.20vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.42-2.85vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.15-2.98vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.87-7.90vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-1.86vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.1Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.18Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Virginia2.010.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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11.15Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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12.02Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
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12.64Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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16.14University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| James Moody | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Augie Dale | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Victor Rodriguez | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Peter Steo | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 40.8% |
| Vincent Storino | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.