← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.97vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.29+5.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+5.95vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+4.18vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+2.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+0.02vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.15+4.38vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-3.17vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-2.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+2.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.90-2.62vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.87-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.84-0.50vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.01-2.48vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo1.00+0.08vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.42-6.06vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.05-5.51vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia2.01-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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8.03Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.38Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
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5.83Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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13.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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13.5University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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12.52Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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16.08University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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10.94Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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12.49Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Virginia2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 9.6% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| AJ Reiter | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Steo | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Augie Dale | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Storino | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| James Moody | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 11.3% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 42.1% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Victor Rodriguez | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.