Race 1B

saisa-north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Douglas Toney 20.4% 19.8% 18.3% 15.5% 12.7% 8.6% 3.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Katherine Baker 31.2% 26.0% 19.4% 12.5% 6.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Austin Nettles 13.3% 15.0% 16.6% 18.6% 15.3% 12.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.2%
Katie Marren 5.8% 7.1% 9.1% 12.6% 15.6% 16.3% 17.6% 11.9% 4.0%
Cole Barney 15.9% 18.9% 17.1% 15.3% 15.0% 8.9% 5.8% 2.9% 0.2%
Hans Lie-Nielsen 4.3% 4.3% 6.7% 7.7% 12.9% 17.3% 21.5% 17.9% 7.4%
Zoe Williams 5.5% 6.2% 7.4% 12.4% 14.0% 19.4% 18.4% 13.4% 3.3%
Tom Nolan 1.4% 0.4% 1.9% 1.0% 3.7% 4.7% 8.0% 17.4% 61.5%
Lauren McLean 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 4.4% 4.6% 9.0% 18.0% 32.6% 23.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.