Race 6A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Leif Hauge 29.3% 25.9% 18.6% 12.8% 7.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Turloff 12.0% 11.1% 13.4% 15.6% 15.0% 12.3% 10.5% 5.8% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Lucien Freemesser 16.9% 18.1% 16.7% 15.6% 12.2% 10.4% 6.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Marty Weigel 3.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.3% 8.4% 10.1% 12.5% 18.4% 18.3% 10.8% 3.9%
Oliver Nairn 17.8% 16.9% 17.5% 16.0% 12.2% 9.2% 6.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Emily Avey 4.2% 4.8% 6.9% 6.9% 10.8% 12.2% 14.0% 16.6% 13.8% 8.1% 1.9%
Jaden Unruh 5.3% 6.4% 7.4% 9.6% 12.2% 14.8% 15.6% 13.1% 9.9% 4.3% 1.4%
Ellie Blakemore 7.4% 8.1% 9.8% 11.8% 12.6% 14.1% 15.2% 11.3% 6.9% 2.2% 0.7%
Hans Scheyer 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 3.9% 5.3% 7.2% 11.2% 18.1% 24.8% 20.3%
Chris Connor 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.8% 5.1% 6.5% 10.9% 22.1% 47.2%
Nathaniel Rubin 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 5.0% 6.5% 10.2% 17.0% 26.7% 24.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.