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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+6.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+6.12vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+3.01vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia2.01+8.77vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.29+2.67vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.94+2.82vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.90+2.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.82vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01+3.45vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.87-0.92vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-2.84vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-4.09vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo1.00+2.22vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.42-4.11vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.15-3.93vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-3.55vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.84-4.61vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.05-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.12Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.01Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.77University of Virginia2.010.0%1st Place
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7.67Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.45Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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8.16Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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8.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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16.22University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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10.89Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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12.07Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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12.2Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Victor Rodriguez | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% |
| AJ Reiter | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| James Moody | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 7.6% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 42.6% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Peter Steo | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Vincent Storino | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 13.3% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.