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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+7.04vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+3.93vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+5.12vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.05+8.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90+4.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.87+2.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.94vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.15+2.71vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94-1.43vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-4.07vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.84+1.57vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-5.76vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.42-3.07vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.29-7.74vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.01-3.56vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo1.00-1.17vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-4.72vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.12Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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12.44Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.71Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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13.57University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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7.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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12.44University of Virginia2.010.0%1st Place
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15.83University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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14.84Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Augie Dale | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| James Moody | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Edmund Cooper | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Steo | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Victor Rodriguez | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 36.9% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% |
| Paul Hart | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.