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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.47+3.20vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.64+1.83vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.46+1.16vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.22+4.92vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.48+1.89vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.70+0.33vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.39-2.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College0.05+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.36-1.87vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.45-0.33vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.04-2.62vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+0.35vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.73-0.56vs Predicted
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14Bates College-2.67-0.09vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College-0.42-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Bowdoin College1.4716.2%1st Place
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3.83Bowdoin College1.6419.0%1st Place
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4.16Dartmouth College1.4616.7%1st Place
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8.92Boston University-0.222.4%1st Place
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6.89Maine Maritime Academy0.485.5%1st Place
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6.33Northeastern University0.706.4%1st Place
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4.4Bowdoin College1.3914.5%1st Place
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8.03Boston College0.054.7%1st Place
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7.13University of Vermont0.365.1%1st Place
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9.67Bentley University-0.452.1%1st Place
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8.38Boston University-0.043.5%1st Place
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12.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.6%1st Place
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12.44University of New Hampshire-1.731.0%1st Place
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13.91Bates College-2.670.1%1st Place
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9.35Dartmouth College-0.422.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ladd | 16.2% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Conover | 19.0% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Stevens | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Skye Johnson | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Keenan | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Marco Welch | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 28.9% | 17.2% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 29.9% | 18.4% |
| Logan Ray | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 18.8% | 59.1% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.